Los Angeles has allowed only nine touchdown passes, fewest in the NFL, and the team is also effective against the run, giving up 3. Hammer, who has inside sources throughout the league, also jumped on two other bigtime matchups: Bills vs. Cardinals and Ravens vs. Patriots , the Sunday Night Football showdown.
In one of those games, Hammer says, there is a complete mismatch, creating a spread that's way off. You can only see his best bets here. Which side of Bills vs. Patriots do you need to jump on? Nov 15, at am ET 2 min read. Jaworski reveals Colts' offer for Carson Wentz?
Could Russ be traded? There's one clear spot Jason La Canfora 5 min read. Five teams set for major leap in Cody Benjamin 3 min read. Ranking 13 logical suitors for Wilson Cody Benjamin 6 min read. No parlays! Make sure as always to check out the latest odds for the Super Bowl and read our betting preview for another perspective on how the game may play out. All NFL betting odds below are courtesy of the latest lines as of this writing.
I know it sounds like a complete blunder to bet against Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs, but hear me out. Outside of the Patriots, no Brady-led team has had this wealth of offensive and defensive talent. Yes, they were beaten handily no matter what the final score says but they have game tape and the recent tendencies of the Chiefs to examine and exploit.
The reality is when betting on Super Bowl MVP, skill position and defensive players typically offer the best odds. Since , quarterbacks have won it 13 of 21 times. Quarterbacks get the glory or the blame no matter what happens in the game.
Unless Brady is just a senior citizen on the field and the Bucs somehow win in spite of him, the narrative is too great to not give it to TB I think points will be at a premium for this one. In fact, in those nine Super Bowls, the Patriots never scored a touchdown in the opening quarter.
Another reason why I think the Chiefs will come out strong to start the game is because of Andy Reid and his scripted plays. Enter Harrison Butker and Ryan Succop. The Chiefs kicker has been fairly solid on conventional field goals, posting a spotless record this season when kicking from 40 yards in for three points, but when it was an extra point, he sometimes had the yips. He missed six extra-point attempts in six games and another one in the divisional playoff game vs the Browns seven total.
Why is that important? Because there was at least one two-point conversion attempt in four of those games. With only 13 picks tossed over the last two seasons including playoffs , it would seem like a foolish bet.
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Are you sure? Please confirm deletion. There is no undo! Cancel Delete. Belgium Jupiler League. Germany Bundesliga. Germany 2. England Premier League. England Championship. And if you look close enough and follow the numbers close enough the best bet situations will always present themselves.
There are always motivational and situational factors to consider, particularly involving scheduling. But what takes a play from good to great is when you catch a team just begging for a statistical regression because of either exceptionally poor or exceptional outstanding shooting.
Align that regression with other factors and voila, you have a big bet. They had lost three straight games prior to taking on the Knicks. And despite being a Top 12 defensive team they had allowed their three previous opponents to shoot around 50 percent from the field and around 48 percent from 3-point range.
In the meantime Boston, which was one of the highest-scoring teams in the league, was coming off a game in which they were held to just 93 points. Facing a rival, at home, looking to snap a losing streak, and due for both good offensive and defensive showings, the Celtics destroyed the Knicks against a 5. That's how it's done. One of the main things I look for are teams that recently faced each other and the line the second time they face each other.
For example, last year the Warriors were favorites over the Lakers and Golden State sent a clear message with a blowout. Then two days later the Lakers and Warriors hooked up again, this time in Los Angeles, and we took the 'under'. We took it because we knew that former Warriors Coach Luke Walton would undoubtedly make the necessary adjustments, appeal to the pride of his players, and make them play harder on the defensive end after giving up nearly points in their previous game.
See, most people think just because a game ended a certain way, it is going to be exactly that way or similar the next time around and that is not the case. Though we are big on revenge, sometimes there is an indirect revenge. In this case, the indirect revenge was the underdog play better, but the way they play better is to get better on what they were grotesquely bad at last time which was defense.
The final score on November 25th was and the Warriors won - and the game went well 'Under' the which we took for a nice 3-Unit winner. Hence, when you are watching the NBA this year, look for teams that play each other again within a short span of time as it has the elements of the opposite pace it had in the first contest. The public will always bet the top teams but getting value on the not so entertaining teams like the Utah Jazz, Memphis Grizzlies, Atlanta Hawks, etc.
With rules changing this year some of my stats and trends are out the window. But, again, handicapping NBA non-elite teams this year could be what makes another profitable year and even bigger for my best bets. Also look for tons of NBA teams playing at a higher pace because of how their rosters are setup and we could see tons of points scored this year in the NBA. I am a guy that loves betting totals so this could be a huge NBA season.
It isn't the easiest sport due to players resting and the dreaded back-to-backs, or even worse, back-to-back-to-backs. Players are asked to play a lot of minutes each night and due to this teams decide to rest players and don't make it public until after gamblers have already done their research on the lines.
Fear not, my friends, as there are some opportunities to take advantage of during the dog days of the NBA schedule. One such opportunity is when a teams best player doesn't play. This DNP could be due to an injury or because of rest. Many times oddsmakers will adjust a line in order to sway the public in this situation. It is important to not always just fade the team that isn't with their best player.
In this spot the "short-handed" team has value as players that aren't often given a shot to make a statement do so. A teams best player controls the basketball and a lot of times they take possessions away from other capable players. An NBA player gets time because he is good enough to make a difference. We used to love taking the Lakers when Kobe didn't play. Now, don't get us wrong, Kobe is an all-time great. But when he didn't play his teammates did their best to shine.
They didn't always win, but they were always scrappy and would have plenty of value. I am a big trend player. And not just the trends that go back for one or two years. I like trends that go back five, 10 or even 12 years. There are some teams that don't play well in certain cities. Places like Utah and Portland can be horrible for opposing teams and some guys just never play well there. The more history you have the better the trend and then the stronger the play.
For instance, if a player that is a starter gets hurt for a team and he's more of an offensive type player and he is replaced by more of a 'defensive-first' type player than I will tend to look towards betting an 'under' on this team, especially if a few other things come into play.
And if more than one new player enters into the rotation that usually means I'm looking to strongly back something. The bottom line is the NBA betting market, like most professional sports leagues, is controlled by what I call 'the computer algorithm handicappers'. My thinking is that these past stats for each team were accomplished when certain player s were on the floor and now if that team has a few different changes to who's representing them than we should expect some much different type results.
The best time of the season to take advantage of these 'best bets' is usually at the beginning of the season involving a team that is using a few new players from the previous season and then again around the NBA trade deadline. Teams will quickly change the way they look and play when they have a different cast of characters on the floor.
It's during this time of the season that you will see a lot of change and change is what we are looking for to get us one step ahead of the computer guys. In the NBA, if LeBron James or Kevin Durant is announced out, both sharps and squares alike will run to the window with the thought that "there's no way that team X can win without player Y.
The Miami Dolphins Two of the four teams at against the spread face each other this week, with the Pittsburgh Steelers Pittsburgh is also the only undefeated team in the NFL on a straight-up basis, while former No. A beloved national treasure, Hammer enters NFL Week 10 on an impressive run: Over the final 10 weeks of last season and through nine weeks this season, he is a strong on his NFL best bets , a 63 percent cash rate.
This is the same prognosticator who enjoyed 15 winning seasons in his year ESPN run. Anyone who has followed him is way up. Now, Hammer has locked in three confident best bets for Week If you parlay his picks, you could be looking at a payout. Aaron Donald is perhaps the best defensive player in football, anchoring an elite Rams defense. The Rams currently rank second in both total defense Los Angeles has allowed only nine touchdown passes, fewest in the NFL, and the team is also effective against the run, giving up 3.
Hammer, who has inside sources throughout the league, also jumped on two other bigtime matchups: Bills vs. Cardinals and Ravens vs. Patriots , the Sunday Night Football showdown. Pistons vs. Pistons Odds Celtics. Blues vs. Blues Odds Coyotes. Tulane Green Wave vs. Green Wave Odds Knights. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs.
Yellow Jackets Odds Tigers. Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Fighting Illini Odds Cornhuskers. Temple Owls vs. Owls Odds Bearcats. Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Demon Deacons Odds Seminoles. Indiana Hoosiers vs. Hoosiers Odds Buckeyes. Kansas State Wildcats vs. Wildcats Odds Cowboys. Loyola-Chicago Ramblers vs. Ramblers Odds Bulldogs. Oklahoma Sooners vs. Sooners Odds Mountaineers. Georgia Bulldogs vs. Bulldogs Odds Crimson Tide.
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Hawkeyes Odds Spartans. Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Razorbacks Odds Tigers. Texas Christian Horned Frogs vs. Horned Frogs Odds Longhorns. Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Bulldogs Odds Dons.