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So we need Villain to be able to recognize that our bet is polarized and not depolarized on value. It's not a tough spot but an easy fold, for him. If he is never able to call here never think we bluff , we miss value. If V was a PF caller: We bet, bet, overbet. But then Villain doesn't have much of a capped range. Yes he can't have premium PF hands, but still has many flushes, and some straight.
Overbetting when we bet-bet-bet seems suicidal as Villain's range is uncapped. Good that we have Ac to block nut flush, but will he be able to fold a K high or Q high flush? Maybe a T or lower flush may fold.
And maybe a lot of straight esp. He will have sets 55, 66, TT, maybe JJ too, but hard to know what he would do with. July edited July Red If you pass on overbet, you're arsenal will be missing a very powerful weapon that operate on multiple poker fronts, mechanically and psychologically.
July Talk about pain threshold! Adam Wheeler I surely don't want not to use this tool. Another thread seems to pinpoint to a good spot to use Brokos' stratey with Hero who could have shove the river see here. What are your feedback about it? I don't know how balanced we really need to be when making an overbet. It seems like we should be leaning towards bluffs since we're offering our opponents terrible odds and anytime they've seen an overbet from other players , they've been shown the nuts; so they are inclined to fold.
I know for me, my overbets are bluff heavy. I know everyone will start saying, well Burge, you're not balanced and they are going to take advantage of you. Well, I play live and I'm still waiting for that to happen--thankfully! There are other reasons to use overbets, like equity denial and denying your opponent a strategic option. These are inherent to the nature of the game and therefore valid at any stake.
I really have the impression we should take care of: - Villain s 's range and where is cap - Villain's profile, esp. Thus we could put more bluff in our overbet range. Bricks are hard to bluff on; scary cards are better. The board and evolution of the board.
I thought you had KT! The action you described doesn't let me think you were a lot believable when you bombed River. As i was listening to old content from Janda, he talked about a spot that i thought was well relating to this thread. Let's turn the table and put you in V CO shoes. When BN calls he can't really be strong here. You can overbet for a while and get away with it, but the person who bet the optimal amount consistently will make more money over the long haul than the person who overbets consistently.
If you continually overbet you will go broke even though you have an advantage. Do not overbet. If you do not understand why overbetting is bad, deal hands to yourself and pretend bet, say, one-fourth of your capital on each round. You must recalculate your capital after each round. Your capital goes down fast, even if you win more hands than you lose. A cousin problem of overbetting is what to do when you are losing and running out of pocket cash.
Always keep enough money to split a pair or to double down. Try to carry enough cash so that you do not get into this position. Never make a bet that you would be unwilling or unable to match if you should have to split a pair or double down. You have an advantage over the dealer only if you are willing and able to play the hands correctly. Although a time comes during a losing streak when you should stop, namely, when you run out of pocket cash, no rule for stopping governs a winning streak.
The probability of your winning the next hand from an honest dealer is the same whether you have been losing or winning. Quitting offers no advantage when you are a certain number of dollars ahead. Cheer up — you did the right thing in continuing to play.
No optimal stopping rules exist. You never know whether you are right now at a high point or whether you will continue to win in the hours ahead. If you are playing correctly, the chances of your winning another thousand dollars always exceed the chances of your losing another thousand dollars. Never become apprehensive, and never become satisfied.